Wednesday 26 November 2008

Ocarina: World's Bestselling Mobile App

Congrats to the Smule team, whose Ocarina has topped the charts for two weeks now (and especially to CTO Ge Wang who is currently profiled on apple.com/pro).

Anyone can quickly learn to play the Ocarina -- hundreds of song sheets for the Ocarina are now available on Smule.com, thanks to users who have composed and uploaded their scores.

Click on the image to hear my son jamming at the Sonic Mule headquarters...




Blogged with Flock

Friday 21 November 2008

Nov 29: A Capella Holiday Concert

I discovered last winter that the Bay Area is home to one of the world's premier A Capella choruses. Voices in Harmony sings jazz, pop, contemporary, barbershop, and traditional choral music under the direction of Dr. Greg Lyne, a professor from Arizona State and the St Petersburg Conservatory, and guest conductor for the Mormon Tabernacle Choir. Oddly, the group isn't well known locally, but they've been collecting international accolades and acclaim -- most recently winning the bronze medal at the BHS World Championship in July (BHS has 34,000 members worldwide).



Next Saturday afternoon at 3pm on Nov. 29 Voices in Harmony (joined by the Late Show quartet and Pride of the Pacific women's chorus) will perform a holiday concert at the California Theatre in San Jose. There are still a few tickets available, and my friends at the chorus have offered to invite the first group of 4+ people who buy tickets through my blog to a pre-concert VIP wine and cheese reception. (Just leave a comment with your email and name if you think you qualify.)

I have no affiliate code or any other financial interest in this event or the group (it's actually non-profit). I'm just sharing my love for their music. You have to hear them to understand, but if you go, you'll thank me.

Blogged with Flock

Why I Just Invested in Goodmail

How many letters have you snail mailed lately? I think I send about 10,000 emails for every letter I write. So why do enterprises who communicate with millions of customers continue to cut down trees and pay to print letters and envelopes have them physically carried around the world with hundreds of times the cost and latency of email?

The reason for this financial, environmental and logistical absurdity is that you'd have to be nuts to open an email from Bank of America, since most emails that are purportedly from Bank of America are not from Bank of America. They're actually from The I-Need-A-New-Mercedes Bank of Leningrad (or Budapest, or Tel Aviv, or Shanghai...). Furthermore, the ISP who delivers consumer email has no idea which hyperlinks and images are safe, and so as a policy the ISP strips all links, media and scripts from the email, rendering the medium rather useless to you and Bank of America.

The textbook solution to this problem is nearly impossible. You'd have to set up auditing procedures to authenticate all legitimate senders, and monitor the senders' behavior to ensure that they never engage in bad practices like spreading malware or spam. You'd have to examine every script and media object they wish to transmit. You'd have to set up and operate cryptographic infrastructure to establish the integrity of the message from the sender's computer all the way to the inbox (i.e. no added viruses or such). You'd have to convince the ISP's who provide web interfaces to change the way they process their email streams based on the cryptographic tokens attached to the messages. The ISP's would then have to explicitly distinguish for users in their web UI which messages are trusted. And then you'd have to convince businesses that they should pay a transaction fee per email to fund all this infrastructure.

Only one startup was crazy enough to try this. With some amusement, I watched Daniel Dreymann's team for three years trying to line up all these ducks. Suddenly, in September, I heard quacking. Mountain View-based Goodmail had actually signed up ISP's representing over 300 million users (including most of the consumer ISP inboxes in the US and Europe), deployed the necessary cryptographic infrastructure, and delivered over three billion CertifiedEmail messages that month on behalf of Time, StubHub and other commercial and non-profit senders.

Goodmail Systems™, Creating  Trust in EmailThat's what I call an industry standard solution to a big problem. So last week I invested in Goodmail and joined the board, alongside Scott Kurnit, Don Hutchison, VCs from DCM, Emergence and Softbank, and GoodMail's new CEO Peter Horan (former CEO of About.com).

It was a pretty easy decision for me, having done okay funding email security companies in the past. Worldtalk, Tumbleweed and ON developed email security and each went public before being acquired. Cyota and Postini developed anti-phishing and anti-spam services, and they sold for great prices to RSA and Google, respectively. And in 1995 I started a little company in our offices called Digital Certificate Inc. to build a similarly ambitious cryptographic infrastructure and ecosystem for securing web sessions (we later changed the name to Verisign).

The cost of sending CertifiedEmail is 0.1% that of sending a paper statement, invoice or brochure, not to mention the environmental imperative. Thanks to Goodmail, businesses can now send CertifiedEmails, and we can all safely open them without wearing rubber gloves.

Blogged with Flock

Wednesday 12 November 2008

My Halloween Treat: OpenCandy

Despite rumors to the contrary, venture investors are still funding innovative and disruptive startups. My latest Series A investment, announced today, is OpenCandy, which I co-funded with Tim O'Reilly and Reid Hoffman.

Not every (any?) great software application comes from Redmond. Today more than ever individuals and small teams of programmers in every country of the world develop great applications that wither on the vine for lack of visibility and a business model. OpenCandy's technology promises revenue, cheap distribution and free analytics to programmers who may not have their own big marketing departments.

OpenCandy's first product is a recommendations engine that operates in the install wizard of downloaded software. While working for their prior employer DivX, the OpenCandy team discovered that users are far more likely to consider downloading new software while they're in the middle of downloading something else. This observation led them to embed software offers in DivX downloads that now generate $20 million annually for their former employer.

"OpenCandy is taking a proven Web 2.0 model--the ad network--and applying it to software installation. It's very clever. And it will probably work." -- CNET

OpenCandy's recommendations include a mix of free and paid recommendations, depending upon the preferences of the publisher. They do not interfere with the original download, commencing only after the current installation has completed. Here's an example of OpenCandy at work for Miro (a BitTorrent player for RSS video) and Audacity (by far the the best sound recording/mixing tool I've ever used):


Software developers who wish to participate as either a recommender or recommendee should contact co-founder Chester Ng at OpenCandy. He and OpenCandy CEO Darrius Thompson started the company earlier this year. They run a talented but scrappy team in the true tradition of Get Big Cheap. And I'm betting they'll prove that great software is like Halloween candy: you can't eat just one!

Blogged with Flock Browser

Thursday 6 November 2008

It's a Smule World After All

Having realized a 30X gain on my 1997 investment in Tumbleweed, I'm delighted to be incubating Jeff Smith's next venture, Sonic Mule. After taking Tumbleweed public, Jeff retreated to Stanford in pursuit of his doctorate in classical music; he then joined Bessemer as an EIR, where he conceived Sonic Mule (aka Smule). Jeff recruited Ge Wang (Stanford) and Perry Cook (Princeton) -- two of the world's the most prominent professors in computer-music integration and the inventors of Chuck, an open source language that processes and renders sound in real time.

When Jeff's team isn't cleaning out Bessemer's kitchen, they're churning out ass-kicking Chuck-on-iPhone (CHiP) apps. Sonic Lighter (now in the Campaign edition), Sonic Vox (read Apple's review), and Sonic Boom all exceeded our sales projections -- check out the Sonic Lighter's adoption curve in the video below (this is the coolest board update I've ever gotten).



Today Sonic Mule is releasing their latest and greatest app yet-- the Ocarrina. This is the first fully functional and expressive iPhone musical instrument. A true Occarina, it responds to breath, fingerings, and position. It is easy to learn but allows for nuance and mastery. And you can navigate the globe to listen in on Occarina performances around the world. Check out the video and then buy Ocarina for 99 cents.



And this one's for Legend of Zelda fans...


Update: "Smule has done it again," according to This Is How You Build a Great iPhone App at TechCrunch.
Blogged with Flock Browser

Tuesday 4 November 2008

The Prospects for SaaS

On Thursday night Bessemer's SaaS practice team Byron Deeter and Philippe Botteri hosted a CFO dinner at John Bentley's in Redwood City, where we discussed the prospects for SaaS in the context of a global recession. My squash gnocchi was delectable, but the portion size was stingy (a sign of the times). Fifteen CFO's participated, about half of whom work at Bessemer portfolio SaaS companies (Cornerstone On Demand, Intacct. Lifelock, LinkedIn, OneStop, Perimeter and Retail Solutions).

The mood could best be described as cautiously pessimistic. Despite hypergrowth in the SaaS industry, the outlook for 2009 is sobering. Among the 13 public SaaS companies, the multiple of enterprise value over current year sales has dropped from 6.6 one year ago to 2.2 today, shaving 60% off market caps year to date. Obviously the market expects growth rates to fall dramatically. SaaS companies grew on average 48% in 2008 but in 2009 Omniture will lead the pack with only 14% growth, according to Goldman Sachs uber analyst Sasa Zorovic, who joined us for the dinner. (Yes, Goldman's SaaS analyst is really named Sasa.)

With slower growth and expensive capital, SaaS companies need to adjust expenses to optimize for cash efficiency, not growth. It's especially important now to assess the profitability of new business, which is tricky in SaaS companies. For each customer, the inflows are the time-discounted billings including expected upsells to the point of expected churn. The outflows equal the sum of upfront sales costs and the time-discounted cost of service delivery and any sales cost for renewals and upsells.

Although we're planning for the worst,  we at Bessemer still believe that the shift to SaaS represents the most important secular shift in enterprise computing since the advent of client-server. The SaaS value proposition of reducing capital expenses as well as total cost of ownership should ring even louder as corporate budgets come under pressure. That's why we predict the downfall of software companies whose addiction to license revenue discourage them from embracing SaaS...
Photobucket
Blogged with the Flock Browser